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Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With as much as date news and a little however spirited 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to address humanity's hardest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain numerous pressing questions that are less simple to select. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be much better at forecasting the future (and have seen some interesting improvements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is really on the smaller side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months back so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its finest prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We postured the following concerns to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own hazard.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, photorum.eclat-mauve.fr but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor since 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her friends and household to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not attending to the speculation straight.
I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the chances and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, thinking about all aspects.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the relocation. The article mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I also require to consider the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which could either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 seems like a significant number however possible offered their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the possibility that they'll utilize it numerous times, specifically if it's effective early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime program when Trump existed in 2018. That seems considerable due to the fact that it reveals he's done it previously, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, cadizpedia.wikanda.es looking at more current posts, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could suggest he's less most likely to address Trump this time.
However, he's also included in a feud with Drake, which might give him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation match from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any questionable songs in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for kenpoguy.com that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar might feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements during the halftime show, so there's a risk that such content may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold carry on big phases. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may provide him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could show he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the probability seems to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Appears like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't mean to trigger offense which he actually found it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, wiki.snooze-hotelsoftware.de which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Taking a look at the posts, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's an article particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who delights in consuming, especially with his group. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, wiki.whenparked.com it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can occur when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that may affect this forecast.
First, I check out the short articles supplied. They all discuss the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up regularly than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a huge distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is typically thought about random. The slight historic edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases people weigh historic data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I must think about whether this historic bias ought to affect the possibility.
After thinking about it, I decide that while the historic data shows a minor preference for tails, it's not substantial sufficient to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however doesn't bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its official now due to the fact that our AI says the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still kind of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful employ recent games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ridiculous." They say there's no proof of methodical bias. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may imply there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some fact to it.
Looking at the articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also discussed that analytical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's intriguing since if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting everything together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, however very unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth viewing the video game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game turns out before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about everything, at least it can gain from this.
Sidan "Our new Deepseek-based AI Says"
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